
Pakistan’s Fertility Rate Is Falling Faster Than Many Realize — What It Means for the Country’s Future
January 28, 2026


Tube Wells: From Solution to New Challenge in Pakistan’s Agriculture.
Tube wells were introduced decades ago to fight waterlogging and salinity in the Indus Basin. They worked — giving farmers on-demand irrigation and reclaiming previously unproductive lands.
But new data tells another story. Between 2010 and 2024:
Punjab: Tube well–only irrigation more than doubled (4.89 → 9.98 million acres)
Balochistan & KPK: Tripled usage
Sindh: Six-fold increase
Why the surge?
Reliable water when canals fail
Expanded cultivable area
Government-subsidised solar tube wells slashing pumping costs
The hidden risks:
Groundwater depletion at alarming rates
Falling water tables making irrigation costlier
Unchecked solar pumping removing economic restraint on water use
The way forward:
1️⃣ Regulate groundwater extraction — quotas or permits in stressed zones
2️⃣ Price even solar-powered pumping to avoid overuse
3️⃣ Invest in recharge systems & efficient irrigation
4️⃣ Use GIS data for targeted subsidies and monitoring